Every moneyline pick our four sport tools log before the game, graded at the logged price and added up across hockey, football, basketball and baseball. Only EDGE and LEAN picks count as plays; PASS games are games we would avoid and are never counted as bets. Units assume 1 unit per play. Losses stay on this page.
Two kinds of numbers below, never mixed: LIVE graded picks since tier tracking started on Oct 4, 2026, and BACKTEST results on held-out past seasons with real historical prices. Live samples are tiny for now; the margin of error on an ROI is roughly ±100/√plays percentage points.
ROI = units won or lost ÷ plays (pushes excluded). Closing-line value (CLV) = how far the market's no-vig probability moved toward our side between when the pick was logged and the close, in probability points; it is the quickest honest check of whether an edge is real. Home-team baseline = the flat ROI of backing every home team at the same prices, a naive yardstick that loses to the bookmaker's margin. Past results and backtests do not predict future results. Information and entertainment only; 21+, gamble responsibly, 1-800-GAMBLER.